• ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 11a

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Jul 22 05:35:22 2026
    114
    WTNT32 KNHC 220535
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
    100 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

    ...BERTHA MOVING WESTWARD WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
    CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...29.3N 87.9W
    ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
    ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida to Morgan City, Louisiana
    * Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * West of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Cameron, Louisiana
    * Lake Maurepas

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
    48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
    located by Air Force Reserve aircraft near latitude 29.3 North,
    longitude 87.9 West. Bertha is moving toward the west near 6 mph
    (9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through
    Friday. On the forecast track, Bertha will move near or along the
    northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
    higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast to continue over the
    next several days.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
    from the center. In the past hour, a wind gust of 40 mph (64 km/h)
    was reported at Panama City Beach, Florida.

    The minimum central pressure estimated by Air Force Reserve
    reconnaissance aircraft is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
    WTNT42 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading across
    portions of the northern Gulf Coast within the warning area
    through the day. Tropical storm conditions are possible within
    the watch area in Louisiana by tonight.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
    cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
    reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
    areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to MS/AL Border...2-4 ft
    Cameron, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
    MS/AL Border to Aucilla River, FL...1-3 ft
    Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
    Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
    and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
    information specific to your area, please see products issued by
    your local National Weather Service forecast office.

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

    RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1
    to 4 inches with isolated higher totals to 6 inches through Thursday
    along the central Gulf Coast from western Florida through southern
    Louisiana. This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding,
    especially in urban areas.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
    Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
    Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
    the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.

    SURF: Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward
    along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells
    are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
    conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin


    = = = = = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)