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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast/advisory Number 8

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Oct 15 02:30:45 2025
    494
    WTNT22 KNHC 150230
    TCMAT2

    TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
    0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 45.6W AT 15/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 60NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 45.6W AT 15/0300Z
    AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 45.6W

    FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 21.3N 44.9W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 20NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.0N 42.6W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.9N 38.9W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 45.6W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER KELLY



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