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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0902

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat May 30 04:44:15 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 300444
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300443=20
    NEZ000-300615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0902
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1143 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

    Areas affected...south-central Nebraska

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 300443Z - 300615Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...The potential for locally severe wind gusts may persist
    for the next hour or two. A watch is currently not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...As of 04:35 UTC, KUEX radar indicated the apex of a
    bowing line segment near Holdrege, with that feature indicating some forward-propagational characteristics. A wind gust of 67 mph was
    recently reported near Oxford. The downstream air mass across
    south-central NE is relatively moist with dewpoints in the mid 60s,
    which are contributing to MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg. However,
    RAP-based forecast soundings and plan-view objective fields indicate
    poor low-level lapse rates, which are expected to temper the
    intensity of and areal extent of any severe wind gust threat.
    Nonetheless, the presence of an organized cold pool, and relatively
    strong storm-relative inflow into the convective system (ref.
    current KUEX VWP) may continue to support isolated occurrences of
    severe wind gusts for the next hour or two.

    Given the expected areal coverage of the severe-weather threat, a
    watch is not anticipated.

    ..Mead/Guyer.. 05/30/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9jsXycjFchl59esQ2w_YFHw7NvnXYKKD8WlmZQ-rdreYNM1kaKsI-8RjIw1ljumjPRjZS7LaC= wq1xhm3xluuqN_4yaI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...

    LAT...LON 40009975 40150012 40690016 41009991 41309909 41419861
    41239829 40869819 40579822 40329849 40099883 40019929
    40009975=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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