ACUS11 KWNS 300117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300116=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-300315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0900
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0816 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Areas affected...north-central Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250...

Valid 300116Z - 300315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250
continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for isolated occurrences of large hail
and/or severe wind gusts will persist for the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...As of 01:10 UTC, a series of small storms were located
from southern Noble into Garfield and Grant Counties, to the north
of an outflow boundary. It's unclear whether that convection is
truly surface-based or slightly elevated. In either case, ample
instability (see 00 UTC OUN sounding) persists within the inflow air
mass. Both the KTLX and KVNX VWPs indicate a gradual increase in
wind speed in the lowest 1.0-1.5 km AGL, a trend which is expected
to continue through mid to late evening. A resultant increase in
storm-relative inflow may support storm intensification with
attendant risk for large hail and perhaps locally severe wind gusts
for the next couple of hours.

The current expectation is that the remaining valid portion of the
watch will be allowed to expire at 03 UTC.

..Mead.. 05/30/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9A0JmIsmI4wCbuk_7o8CH-889w8wvgpqDr5Z8rS_-voZmljKcbTmqaAj2p4IJDYkwqDAM8fYP= cQcDs3I6wWZY8wBAP4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 35939666 35769713 35759767 35769812 36209861 36669876
36969839 37019767 37009682 36959631 36889609 36579608
36329608 36069631 35939666=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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